The COVID-19 Situation Report is a data intensive report that tries to portray an accurate data oriented picture of the 2019- 2020 COVID-19 pandemic. If you would like to add additional metrics to this report, please send a mail to the author at .

Date of Report

Numbers as on EOD 

## [1] "2021-04-06"

COVID-19 Overall Stats (Worldwide)

Overall Confirmed Cases Count Worldwide 

## [1] "132419139 (up from 131813638 yesterday: 0.46 % increase)"

Overall Deaths Worldwide

Please note that the deaths is at the minimum an underestimate as there could be fatalities resulting from the current active cases.

## [1] "2872453 (up from 2860652 yesterday: 0.41 % increase)"

Overall Confirmed Cases Count Worldwide in the past 21 Days 

## [1] 11721260

Overall Fatality Rate Worldwide in %

Please note that the fatality rate is at the minimum an underestimate as there could be fatalities resulting from the current active cases.

## [1] 2.17



In- Depth Country Wise Stats (With Atleast 100000 COVID-19 Confirmations)

Overall Confirmed Cases and Deaths- Country Wise (With Fatality Rates)

Country_Region TotalConfirmed NewConfirmations CasesPercentIncrease TotalConfirmedinPast21Days TotalDeaths NewDeaths DeathsPercentIncrease FatalityRate
US 30847348 61958 0.20 1297253 556546 835 0.15 1.80
Brazil 13100580 86979 0.67 1497045 336947 4195 1.26 2.57
India 12801785 115736 0.91 1363051 166177 630 0.38 1.30
France 4902025 8054 0.16 733614 97431 426 0.44 1.99
Russia 4546307 8206 0.18 186274 99431 382 0.39 2.19
United Kingdom 4379033 2404 0.05 96830 127126 20 0.02 2.90
Italy 3686707 7763 0.21 427937 111747 421 0.38 3.03
Turkey 3579185 49584 1.40 667543 32667 211 0.65 0.91
Spain 3317948 6623 0.20 117924 75911 128 0.17 2.29
Germany 2909902 7593 0.26 306838 77245 109 0.14 2.65
Colombia 2468236 11827 0.48 158636 64524 231 0.36 2.61
Poland 2456709 8246 0.34 524788 55065 60 0.11 2.24
Argentina 2428029 20870 0.87 217908 56634 163 0.29 2.33
Mexico 2256509 4804 0.21 87502 204985 586 0.29 9.08
Iran 1963394 17430 0.90 200081 63506 174 0.27 3.23
Ukraine 1820725 13398 0.74 294130 36692 437 1.21 2.02
Peru 1590209 0 0.00 171235 53138 0 0.00 3.34
Czechia 1555245 1425 0.09 142283 27169 112 0.41 1.75
South Africa 1552853 437 0.03 21887 53032 37 0.07 3.42
Indonesia 1542516 4549 0.30 112058 41977 162 0.39 2.72
Netherlands 1335312 5752 0.43 151745 16826 25 0.15 1.26
Chile 1037780 5168 0.50 136998 23734 57 0.24 2.29
Canada 1027854 10724 1.05 106591 23132 49 0.21 2.25
Romania 983217 5231 0.53 114418 24386 196 0.81 2.48
Belgium 904673 1709 0.19 91647 23247 45 0.19 2.57
Iraq 887291 7300 0.83 118939 14535 33 0.23 1.64
Sweden 834993 21802 2.68 109704 13533 35 0.26 1.62
Israel 834920 317 0.04 12217 6257 9 0.14 0.75
Portugal 824368 874 0.11 9471 16887 2 0.01 2.05
Philippines 812760 9362 1.17 181440 13817 382 2.84 1.70
Pakistan 700188 4004 0.58 87873 15026 102 0.68 2.15
Hungary 691743 1890 0.27 162621 22098 170 0.78 3.19
Bangladesh 651652 7213 1.12 90765 9384 66 0.71 1.44
Jordan 645449 6005 0.94 150069 7383 100 1.37 1.14
Serbia 625773 4398 0.71 99661 5537 40 0.73 0.88
Switzerland 610274 4932 0.81 35021 10403 26 0.25 1.70
Austria 562907 1935 0.34 65018 9517 35 0.37 1.69
Morocco 499025 696 0.14 9403 8865 8 0.09 1.78
Japan 489407 2615 0.54 40265 9251 22 0.24 1.89
Lebanon 482798 2296 0.48 59365 6479 36 0.56 1.34
United Arab Emirates 474136 1988 0.42 43823 1516 4 0.26 0.32
Saudi Arabia 394169 792 0.20 11063 6711 7 0.10 1.70
Slovakia 365733 333 0.09 26195 10094 0 0.00 2.76
Panama 356913 357 0.10 8333 6146 8 0.13 1.72
Bulgaria 356859 0 0.00 69291 13786 0 0.00 3.86
Malaysia 353329 1300 0.37 27295 1300 5 0.39 0.37
Ecuador 337702 925 0.27 34848 17004 17 0.10 5.04
Belarus 329258 968 0.29 25112 2304 10 0.44 0.70
Kazakhstan 309756 2080 0.68 33093 3249 0 0.00 1.05
Georgia 284958 897 0.32 9273 3832 10 0.26 1.34
Greece 281570 4293 1.55 57781 8532 79 0.93 3.03
Croatia 280899 735 0.26 29034 6113 30 0.49 2.18
Nepal 278470 260 0.09 3046 3036 0 0.00 1.09
Bolivia 276890 1498 0.54 15902 12366 22 0.18 4.47
Azerbaijan 273869 2035 0.75 32218 3743 32 0.86 1.37
Tunisia 263043 1866 0.71 20370 9039 46 0.51 3.44
West Bank and Gaza 256461 2539 1.00 42670 2735 19 0.70 1.07
Dominican Republic 254603 168 0.07 7809 3355 4 0.12 1.32
Kuwait 239952 1403 0.59 27783 1373 8 0.59 0.57
Ireland 238907 441 0.18 11244 4727 9 0.19 1.98
Moldova 236563 773 0.33 29551 5224 46 0.89 2.21
Denmark 235009 520 0.22 12475 2433 2 0.08 1.04
Paraguay 224736 2073 0.93 41388 4522 59 1.32 2.01
Lithuania 220900 688 0.31 14610 3623 8 0.22 1.64
Slovenia 220698 273 0.12 19201 4089 7 0.17 1.85
Costa Rica 219846 3082 1.42 9399 3000 43 1.45 1.36
Ethiopia 219381 2054 0.95 41273 3025 25 0.83 1.38
Egypt 206510 778 0.38 14315 12253 43 0.35 5.93
Armenia 197873 760 0.39 18586 3627 13 0.36 1.83
Guatemala 197020 1340 0.68 13035 6903 9 0.13 3.50
Honduras 192413 1277 0.67 12898 4686 5 0.11 2.44
Qatar 185261 927 0.50 14049 312 6 1.96 0.17
Bosnia and Herzegovina 177506 1093 0.62 31069 7052 99 1.42 3.97
Venezuela 169074 1526 0.91 22046 1693 15 0.89 1.00
Oman 165480 1206 0.73 17470 1728 6 0.35 1.04
Libya 164318 876 0.54 17197 2765 8 0.29 1.68
Nigeria 163388 58 0.04 2314 2058 0 0.00 1.26
Bahrain 150811 1020 0.68 18442 545 4 0.74 0.36
Burma 142530 19 0.01 368 3206 0 0.00 2.25
Kenya 139842 394 0.28 24811 2258 14 0.62 1.61
North Macedonia 136426 1259 0.93 22497 4022 45 1.13 2.95
Albania 126936 141 0.11 8444 2283 9 0.40 1.80
Uruguay 123063 3105 2.59 49293 1191 45 3.93 0.97
Algeria 117879 140 0.12 2339 3112 4 0.13 2.64
Estonia 110680 899 0.82 23132 964 14 1.47 0.87
Korea, South 106898 668 0.63 10049 1756 4 0.23 1.64
Latvia 104533 309 0.30 9931 1937 3 0.16 1.85
China 101920 19 0.02 477 4841 0 0.00 4.75
Norway 100149 900 0.91 17694 677 1 0.15 0.68

In Depth USA Stats (State Wise Figures)

Confirmed Cases and Deaths- States of USA (With Fatality Rates)

State Confirmed NewConfirmations CasesPercentIncrease TotalConfirmedinPast21Days Deaths NewDeaths DeathsPercentIncrease FatalityRate ConfirmedCasesPerMillPopl DeathsPerMillPopl InfectionOdds
California 3685045 2184 0.06 56745 59887 88 0.15 1.63 93263.42 1515.66 1 in 11
Texas 2811270 4362 0.16 73507 48815 86 0.18 1.74 96954.12 1683.51 1 in 10
Florida 2090862 5556 0.27 106437 33780 70 0.21 1.62 97350.20 1572.79 1 in 10
New York 1918437 6041 0.32 163244 50751 45 0.09 2.65 98616.24 2608.83 1 in 10
Illinois 1261577 2947 0.23 49563 23673 8 0.03 1.88 99557.67 1868.16 1 in 10
Georgia 1066671 1474 0.14 30165 19238 26 0.14 1.80 100464.21 1811.93 1 in 10
Pennsylvania 1052450 4722 0.45 79080 25217 37 0.15 2.40 82209.88 1969.77 1 in 12
Ohio 1028800 1871 0.18 36577 18741 0 0.00 1.82 88013.62 1603.29 1 in 11
New Jersey 933736 3710 0.40 89338 24700 51 0.21 2.65 105124.52 2780.85 1 in 10
North Carolina 923430 870 0.09 36119 12189 16 0.13 1.32 88045.63 1162.18 1 in 11
Arizona 845480 570 0.07 11602 16996 6 0.04 2.01 111029.79 2231.94 1 in 9
Tennessee 818008 986 0.12 23871 11967 38 0.32 1.46 119711.28 1751.31 1 in 8
Michigan 786123 6149 0.79 109629 17343 61 0.35 2.21 78715.76 1736.58 1 in 13
Indiana 692240 615 0.09 18712 13084 9 0.07 1.89 102824.94 1943.49 1 in 10
Massachusetts 648023 1803 0.28 43357 17337 12 0.07 2.68 93247.39 2494.71 1 in 11
Wisconsin 640704 1151 0.18 14340 7349 8 0.11 1.15 110040.58 1262.19 1 in 9
Virginia 627605 1434 0.23 30464 10401 41 0.40 1.66 73528.63 1218.56 1 in 14
Missouri 585131 576 0.10 13057 8876 9 0.10 1.52 95338.14 1446.21 1 in 10
South Carolina 557803 1334 0.24 22934 9204 1 0.01 1.65 108338.32 1787.63 1 in 9
Minnesota 530662 3012 0.57 31736 6967 4 0.06 1.31 94095.15 1235.36 1 in 11
Alabama 517114 196 0.04 8397 10652 14 0.13 2.06 105464.92 2172.47 1 in 9
Colorado 470254 1266 0.27 25542 6132 6 0.10 1.30 81659.24 1064.82 1 in 12
Louisiana 446955 218 0.05 8398 10174 9 0.09 2.28 96144.29 2188.52 1 in 10
Oklahoma 440142 120 0.03 7117 4953 0 0.00 1.13 111232.05 1251.72 1 in 9
Kentucky 429841 330 0.08 12429 6184 13 0.21 1.44 96211.38 1384.17 1 in 10
Maryland 419055 867 0.21 24339 8378 15 0.18 2.00 69314.78 1385.78 1 in 14
Utah 387814 300 0.08 8733 2137 4 0.19 0.55 120966.65 666.57 1 in 8
Washington 370652 635 0.17 19543 5299 14 0.26 1.43 48674.62 695.87 1 in 21
Iowa 354557 728 0.21 10706 5835 13 0.22 1.65 112376.90 1849.40 1 in 9
Arkansas 331261 163 0.05 3805 5653 5 0.09 1.71 109768.13 1873.20 1 in 9
Connecticut 317729 1074 0.34 23774 7930 7 0.09 2.50 89117.37 2224.22 1 in 11
Mississippi 306341 183 0.06 5091 7073 18 0.26 2.31 102932.01 2376.56 1 in 10
Nevada 305652 295 0.10 5835 5297 22 0.42 1.73 99232.64 1719.72 1 in 10
Kansas 304793 9 0.00 4352 4884 0 0.00 1.60 104620.72 1676.44 1 in 10
Nebraska 212257 299 0.14 7154 2183 2 0.09 1.03 109727.11 1128.51 1 in 9
New Mexico 192773 178 0.09 4109 3961 8 0.20 2.05 91935.49 1889.04 1 in 11
Idaho 182182 346 0.19 6175 1974 2 0.10 1.08 101660.38 1101.52 1 in 10
Oregon 167658 530 0.32 7607 2427 33 1.38 1.45 39750.70 575.43 1 in 25
West Virginia 144010 277 0.19 7991 2707 11 0.41 1.88 80580.95 1514.70 1 in 12
Rhode Island 139549 376 0.27 7799 2632 3 0.11 1.89 131729.41 2484.52 1 in 8
South Dakota 118680 163 0.14 3889 1938 0 0.00 1.63 134153.39 2190.67 1 in 7
Puerto Rico 110233 211 0.19 6955 2139 3 0.14 1.94 34515.83 669.76 1 in 29
Montana 105333 191 0.18 2989 1477 11 0.75 1.40 98554.61 1381.95 1 in 10
North Dakota 103974 260 0.25 2824 1499 2 0.13 1.44 136437.72 1967.03 1 in 7
Delaware 96806 229 0.24 6055 1567 1 0.06 1.62 99414.23 1609.22 1 in 10
New Hampshire 86521 396 0.46 7451 1249 0 0.00 1.44 63631.90 918.58 1 in 16
Alaska 64081 80 0.12 3323 313 0 0.00 0.49 87596.80 427.86 1 in 11
Wyoming 56619 90 0.16 1267 701 1 0.14 1.24 97828.28 1211.21 1 in 10
Maine 52277 291 0.56 4882 746 0 0.00 1.43 38890.44 554.97 1 in 26
District of Columbia 45234 122 0.27 2504 1074 2 0.19 2.37 64093.61 1521.79 1 in 16
Hawaii 31489 59 0.19 2182 467 0 0.00 1.48 22240.00 329.83 1 in 45
Vermont 20373 106 0.52 3326 229 0 0.00 1.12 32649.61 366.99 1 in 31

US Tested- Confirmed Funnel (All States)

State Level Figures

State Tested Confirmed ConfirmationRate TestedinPast21Days ConfirmedinPast21Days ConfirmationRateForPast21Days TestsPerMillPopl
1 California 55277310 3685045 6.67 4013473 56745 1.41 1398992.7
2 Texas 21682763 2811270 12.97 1276659 73507 5.76 747787.7
3 Florida 21144117 2090862 9.89 -1786218 106437 -5.96 984466.7
4 New York 46060296 1918437 4.17 4736701 163244 3.45 2367705.1
5 Illinois 20686198 1261577 6.10 1515955 49563 3.27 1632456.6
6 Georgia 7882169 1066671 13.53 373384 30165 8.08 742380.6
7 Pennsylvania 11902973 1052450 8.84 868667 79080 9.10 929775.3
8 Ohio 11126130 1028800 9.25 617978 36577 5.92 951838.0
9 New Jersey 12350284 933736 7.56 1063661 89338 8.40 1390454.8
10 North Carolina 10657651 923430 8.66 593528 36119 6.09 1016167.6
11 Arizona 8658496 845480 9.76 503297 11602 2.31 1137047.6
12 Tennessee 7285670 818008 11.23 288710 23871 8.27 1066220.5
13 Michigan 11712466 786123 6.71 802289 109629 13.66 1172788.0
14 Indiana 9038809 692240 7.66 572553 18712 3.27 1342619.6
15 Massachusetts 19252065 648023 3.37 1789971 43357 2.42 2770279.4
16 Wisconsin 7727802 640704 8.29 468291 14340 3.06 1327246.0
17 Virginia 6578152 627605 9.54 388800 30464 7.84 770679.8
18 Missouri 4955003 585131 11.81 291478 13057 4.48 807341.9
19 South Carolina 5731427 557803 9.73 389831 22934 5.88 1113176.4
20 Minnesota 7814214 530662 6.79 514609 31736 6.17 1385589.3
21 Alabama 2421690 517114 21.35 67062 8397 12.52 493901.4
22 Colorado 7111749 470254 6.61 518099 25542 4.93 1234949.6
23 Louisiana 6124663 446955 7.30 302863 8398 2.77 1317473.5
24 Oklahoma 3799967 440142 11.58 173781 7117 4.10 960322.2
25 Kentucky 4247463 429841 10.12 202274 12429 6.14 950710.4
26 Maryland 8920479 419055 4.70 595841 24339 4.08 1475512.9
27 Utah 3117420 387814 12.44 150546 8733 5.80 972383.3
28 Washington 6020417 370652 6.16 444410 19543 4.40 790610.8
29 Iowa 1382660 354557 25.64 40449 10706 26.47 438234.3
30 Arkansas 2876915 331261 11.51 98333 3805 3.87 953307.4
31 Connecticut 7348665 317729 4.32 573837 23774 4.14 2061170.7
32 Mississippi 1845226 306341 16.60 42066 5091 12.10 620004.6
33 Nevada 2979842 305652 10.26 140362 5835 4.16 967432.2
34 Kansas 1326785 304793 22.97 37622 4352 11.57 455421.2
35 Nebraska 2651627 212257 8.00 172263 7154 4.15 1370769.2
36 New Mexico 3046614 192773 6.33 186476 4109 2.20 1452962.5
37 Idaho 680735 182182 26.76 24202 6175 25.51 379860.7
38 Oregon 4259223 167658 3.94 288516 7607 2.64 1009836.1
39 West Virginia 2522128 144010 5.71 192922 7991 4.14 1411259.4
40 Rhode Island 3602617 139549 3.87 357626 7799 2.18 3400745.4
41 South Dakota 743378 118680 15.96 310306 3889 1.25 840298.9
43 Montana 1221412 105333 8.62 77164 2989 3.87 1142811.7
44 North Dakota 1475332 103974 7.05 35674 2824 7.92 1935973.7
45 Delaware 1601338 96806 6.05 119779 6055 5.06 1644482.6
46 New Hampshire 1686738 86521 5.13 139579 7451 5.34 1240512.1
47 Alaska 1936287 64081 3.31 136254 3323 2.44 2646846.1
48 Wyoming 690419 56619 8.20 27689 1267 4.58 1192930.1
49 Maine 1806521 52277 2.89 76213 4882 6.41 1343925.7
50 District of Columbia 1397160 45234 3.24 92468 2504 2.71 1979684.0
51 Hawaii 1301669 31489 2.42 117539 2182 1.86 919340.9
52 Vermont 1377571 20373 1.48 180453 3326 1.84 2207684.8

In Depth Italy Stats (Region Wise Figures)

Confirmed Cases and Deaths- Regions of Italy (With Fatality and Confirmation Rates)

Region Swabs Confirmations NewConfirmations CasesPercentIncrease ConfirmationRate HospitalizedWithSymptoms IntensiveCare ActiveCases Deceased FatalityRate
Lombardia 8413420 753242 841 0.11 8.95 6643 845 83699 31264 4.15
Veneto 6351987 389942 507 0.13 6.14 1710 296 36986 10770 2.76
Campania 3714529 347601 846 0.24 9.36 1603 160 91902 5587 1.61
Emilia-Romagna 4982493 345196 791 0.23 6.93 3206 367 70890 12189 3.53
Piemonte 3445699 319014 852 0.27 9.26 3882 370 32788 10481 3.29
Lazio 5330821 294896 1120 0.38 5.53 3240 396 53578 6848 2.32
Toscana 3561041 203410 685 0.34 5.71 1712 279 29079 5510 2.71
Puglia 1932738 202347 475 0.24 10.47 1988 252 50454 5001 2.47
Sicilia 3250857 180348 783 0.44 5.55 1082 160 24452 4730 2.62
Friuli Venezia Giulia 1665109 99730 63 0.06 5.99 604 81 13322 3402 3.41
Liguria 1270878 91954 174 0.19 7.24 691 80 7988 3910 4.25
Marche 1029610 90434 66 0.07 8.78 783 141 8431 2701 2.99
P.A. Bolzano 1165531 69501 35 0.05 5.96 85 17 528 1146 1.65
Abruzzo 1272084 66660 47 0.07 5.24 603 70 10571 2187 3.28
Umbria 1007997 51652 70 0.14 5.12 312 48 4478 1273 2.46
Calabria 684728 49304 203 0.41 7.20 439 37 11496 864 1.75
Sardegna 1036300 47367 128 0.27 4.57 297 47 15837 1245 2.63
P.A. Trento 713437 41847 26 0.06 5.87 175 53 2411 1301 3.11
Basilicata 299864 20055 21 0.10 6.69 174 13 4915 462 2.30
Molise 187296 12452 0 0.00 6.65 53 16 703 447 3.59
Valle d’Aosta 99381 9755 34 0.35 9.82 55 15 1197 429 4.40

In Depth Canada Stats (With Province Level Figures)

Confirmed Cases and Deaths- Provinces of Canada (With Fatality Rates)

Province Confirmed NewConfirmations CasesPercentIncrease Deaths NewDeaths DeathsPercentIncrease FatalityRate ConfirmedCasesPerMillPopl DeathsPerMillPopl InfectionOdds
Ontario 374544 3227 0.87 7448 11 0.15 1.99 25458.70 506.26 1 in 39
Quebec 318532 1168 0.37 10701 4 0.04 3.36 37308.99 1253.39 1 in 27
Alberta 154125 931 0.61 2001 3 0.15 1.30 34924.07 453.42 1 in 29
British Columbia 105988 5108 5.06 1489 26 1.78 1.40 20737.57 291.34 1 in 48
Saskatchewan 34980 217 0.62 443 3 0.68 1.27 29602.27 374.89 1 in 34
Manitoba 34549 62 0.18 942 2 0.21 2.73 25080.63 683.84 1 in 40
Nova Scotia 1747 5 0.29 66 0 0.00 3.78 1787.29 67.52 1 in 560
New Brunswick 1665 3 0.18 30 0 0.00 1.80 2134.63 38.46 1 in 468
Newfoundland and Labrador 1020 0 0.00 6 0 0.00 0.59 1956.40 11.51 1 in 511
Nunavut 395 0 0.00 4 0 0.00 1.01 NA NA 1 in NA
Prince Edward Island 160 1 0.63 0 0 NaN 0.00 1011.65 0.00 1 in 988
Yukon 74 0 0.00 1 0 0.00 1.35 1801.45 24.34 1 in 555
Northwest Territories 49 2 4.26 0 0 NaN 0.00 1091.22 0.00 1 in 916
Repatriated Travellers 13 0 0.00 0 0 NaN 0.00 NA NA 1 in NA

Time Series Curves (Top 20 Countries with the Highest Cases)

The time series curves (both linear and logarithmic) are printed for the top 20 countries with the most confirmed COVID-19 cases as of today in decreasing order of confirmations.

Confirmed Cases Count (Linear)

Country Wise Time Series Curve

Confirmed Cases Count (Logarithmic)

Country Wise Time Series Curve

Time Series Curves (Top 20 Countries with the Highest Deaths)

The time series curves (both linear and logarithmic) are printed for the top 20 countries with the most COVID-19 deaths as of today in decreasing order of confirmations.

Death Count (Linear)

Country Wise Time Series Curve

Death Count (Logarithmic)

Country Wise Time Series Curve

Epidemic Curve: Delta in the past 24 hrs (Top 20 Countries with the Highest Cases)

The COVID-19 epidemic curve, also known as an COVID-19 epi curve or COVID-19 epidemiological curve, is a statistical chart to visualise the onset and progression of the COVID-19 outbreak in various countries. The term flattening of the epidermic curve is referred to as the drastic reduction of new cases which can be seen in the dip in the number of new cases in the past 24 hrs. The below charts show if this has happened for the worst affected 20 countries in the world as of today. The fitted line in the below bars show the last 7 day average of new cases/ new deaths.

Delta in Confirmed Cases

Number of New Cases in the past 24 hrs

Delta in Deaths

Number of Deaths in the past 24 hrs

Measuring Outbreak Velocity: 5 Day Lagging Average Doubling Time (Top 20 Countries with the Highest Cases)

The velocity of an outbreak is determined by a construct known as doubling time. This value describes the number of days, on average, required for the number of cases to double in a given area. For our analysis we use average doubling time, which can be defined as the number of days, on average, required for the average number of COVID-19 cases to double in a given area.

This measure can describe COVID-19 behavior worldwide, in a country, or even in a smaller region such as a state. For our analysis, we will discuss average doubling time at a national level for the top 20 most affected countries.

Below, we have calculated average doubling time for several nations, on a trailing, rolling 5-day basisbased on today’s case values. A decline in average doubling time indicates that the COVID-19 outbreak (confirmation rate) is accelerating (average cases double in fewer days), while an increase of average doubling time indicates that the outbreak is slowing.

Ideally, when social distancing and lockdowns are implemented aggressively in a country and after some period of delay, doubling times should begin to increase in a matter of days, weeks, or months, depending upon the severity of the epidemic and the degree of social distancing achievable.

Given the fact that many countries across the world have already enacted or implemented social distancing measures, this is why one should be cautious not to extrapolate COVID-19 growth rates from trailing statistics.

5 Day Lagging Avg Doubling Time of Confirmations

Confirmed Cases and Deaths Per Million Population and Infection Odds

This metric confirmed cases per million population and deaths per million population shows the extent to which the disease has spread with respect to the population of the country. The metric Infection Odds shows 1 in how many people are infected with COVID-19 in the corresponding country.

For the top 20 countries with most confirmed cases excluding cruise ships

Country_Region ConfirmedCasesPerMillionPopl DeathsPerMillionPopl InfectionOdds
US 94276.74 1700.94 1 in 11
Brazil 62592.36 1609.88 1 in 16
India 9560.71 124.11 1 in 105
France 73175.47 1454.41 1 in 14
Russia 31462.33 688.10 1 in 32
United Kingdom 65909.59 1913.40 1 in 15
Italy 60957.46 1847.67 1 in 16
Turkey 44291.36 404.24 1 in 23
Spain 71109.04 1626.90 1 in 14
Germany 35147.99 933.02 1 in 28
Colombia 50300.31 1314.94 1 in 20
Poland 64684.28 1449.84 1 in 15
Argentina 54845.92 1279.29 1 in 18
Mexico 17465.24 1586.57 1 in 57
Iran 24191.65 782.48 1 in 41
Ukraine NA NA 1 in NA
Peru 49431.43 1651.79 1 in 20
Czechia 146032.39 2551.08 1 in 7
South Africa 27377.52 934.98 1 in 37
Indonesia 5842.86 159.00 1 in 171

US Detailed State and County Level Curves

This section of the report might be of interest to people who want an an accurate data oriented picture of the 2019- 2020 COVID-19 pandemic at the state/ county level in USA.

Epidemic Curve: Delta in Confirmed Cases in US States

The COVID-19 epidemic curve, also known as an COVID-19 epi curve or COVID-19 epidemiological curve, is a statistical chart to visualise the onset and progression of the COVID-19 outbreak in various US states. The term flattening of the epidermic curve is referred to as the drastic reduction of new cases which can be seen in the dip in the number of new cases in the past 24 hrs. The below charts show if this has happened for the worst affected 30 states in USA as of today. The fitted line in the below bars show the last 7 day average of new cases/ new deaths.

Number of New Cases in the past 24 hrs

Epidermic Curve: Delta in Deaths in US States

Number of Deaths in the past 24 hrs

Top 100 US Counties with the Highest Cases and Deaths

All NYC boroughs are mentioned together as New York County

County State Confirmations Deaths FatalityRate
Los Angeles California 1222802 23302 1.91
Maricopa Arizona 526415 9670 1.84
Cook Illinois 505380 9709 1.92
Miami-Dade Florida 453345 5924 1.31
Harris Texas 380297 5888 1.55
Riverside California 295631 4417 1.49
Dallas Texas 292743 3894 1.33
San Bernardino California 291728 4425 1.52
San Diego California 271866 3585 1.32
Orange California 267143 4784 1.79
Kings New York 253120 9777 3.86
Queens New York 252963 9407 3.72
Tarrant Texas 251896 3324 1.32
Clark Nevada 235900 4146 1.76
Broward Florida 218973 2706 1.24
Bexar Texas 208172 3360 1.61
Suffolk New York 186487 3277 1.76
Nassau New York 171185 3069 1.79
Bronx New York 168921 6292 3.72
Salt Lake Utah 144546 827 0.57
Palm Beach Florida 133836 2676 2.00
Philadelphia Pennsylvania 133485 3293 2.47
El Paso Texas 130457 2568 1.97
New York New York 126686 4249 3.35
Wayne Michigan 126530 4302 3.40
Orange Florida 126044 1198 0.95
Middlesex Massachusetts 124618 3680 2.95
Hillsborough Florida 124167 1624 1.31
Westchester New York 122066 2218 1.82
Franklin Ohio 119303 1339 1.12
Santa Clara California 115266 1969 1.71
Pima Arizona 113171 2359 2.08
Milwaukee Wisconsin 111141 1309 1.18
Hennepin Minnesota 110496 1655 1.50
Kern California 106543 1292 1.21
Mecklenburg North Carolina 104118 915 0.88
Cuyahoga Ohio 103578 2029 1.96
Fresno California 99755 1622 1.63
Sacramento California 99042 1620 1.64
Gwinnett Georgia 97496 1076 1.10
Marion Indiana 94304 1699 1.80
Bergen New Jersey 94130 2750 2.92
St. Louis Missouri 93620 2105 2.25
Utah Utah 93366 369 0.40
Duval Florida 93290 1313 1.41
Oakland Michigan 93013 2075 2.23
Fulton Georgia 92613 1292 1.40
King Washington 92570 1475 1.59
Fairfield Connecticut 91622 2126 2.32
Shelby Tennessee 91035 1565 1.72
Essex Massachusetts 90642 2314 2.55
Providence Rhode Island 88787 1909 2.15
Allegheny Pennsylvania 88155 1824 2.07
Essex New Jersey 87641 2810 3.21
Collin Texas 87267 799 0.92
Suffolk Massachusetts 86365 1801 2.09
Davidson Tennessee 86170 915 1.06
Middlesex New Jersey 85647 2216 2.59
Hidalgo Texas 85296 2775 3.25
Alameda California 84007 1432 1.70
Oklahoma Oklahoma 83647 837 1.00
DuPage Illinois 83350 1236 1.48
New Haven Connecticut 82967 2008 2.42
Hudson New Jersey 81819 2138 2.61
Wake North Carolina 81458 690 0.85
Ventura California 79830 987 1.24
Travis Texas 79787 957 1.20
Prince George’s Maryland 79087 1394 1.76
Macomb Michigan 77991 2054 2.63
Hartford Connecticut 77133 2355 3.05
Hamilton Ohio 76986 1160 1.51
Jefferson Kentucky 76932 1106 1.44
Erie New York 76665 1666 2.17
Jefferson Alabama 74987 1476 1.97
Cobb Georgia 74769 994 1.33
Pinellas Florida 73591 1559 2.12
Tulsa Oklahoma 72684 794 1.09
Fairfax Virginia 72390 1048 1.45
Denton Texas 72321 731 1.01
Worcester Massachusetts 71462 2167 3.03
Greenville South Carolina 70626 952 1.35
San Joaquin California 70465 1325 1.88
Ocean New Jersey 70250 2010 2.86
Monmouth New Jersey 69781 1511 2.17
Will Illinois 69467 948 1.36
Douglas Nebraska 67708 655 0.97
Richmond New York 67627 1710 2.53
Montgomery Maryland 67375 1484 2.20
Passaic New Jersey 66120 1804 2.73
Contra Costa California 65835 774 1.18
Union New Jersey 65739 1868 2.84
Denver Colorado 65395 785 1.20
Fort Bend Texas 64010 636 0.99
Lee Florida 63774 930 1.46
Lake Illinois 62986 956 1.52
Polk Florida 62197 1284 2.06
DeKalb Georgia 61930 944 1.52
Montgomery Pennsylvania 61499 1617 2.63
Bristol Massachusetts 60968 1654 2.71
Stanislaus California 59536 1007 1.69

Overall US Choropleth Map

Choropleths are an ideal way to visualize the past/ current COVID-19 hotspots within a country. The below were the overall (not current) hotspots in the US.

County level COVID-19 Confirmations Map

Canada Detailed Province Level Curves

This section of the report might be of interest to people who want an an accurate data oriented picture of the 2019- 2020 COVID-19 pandemic at the province level in Canada.

The COVID-19 epidemic curve, also known as an COVID-19 epi curve or COVID-19 epidemiological curve, is a statistical chart to visualise the onset and progression of the COVID-19 outbreak in the most affected Canadian provinces- Quebec, Ontario, Alberta and British Columbia. The term flattening of the epidermic curve is referred to as the drastic reduction of new cases which can be seen in the dip in the number of new cases in the past 24 hrs. The fitted line in the below bars show the last 7 day average of new cases/ new deaths.

Epidemic Curve: Delta in Confirmed Cases in Canadian Provinces

Number of New Cases in the past 24 hrs

Epidermic Curve: Delta in Deaths in Canadian Provinces

Number of Deaths in the past 24 hrs

Data Sources

Github Repo: CSSEGISandData, The NY Times, amodm/api-covid19-in and pcm-dpc